Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.64
Edge
-0.3%Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
37%
10/27
Avg1.56
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .313 | .469 | 24.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .235 | .435 | 25.1% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .296 | .556 | 24.0% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .326 | .512 | 8.6% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .197 | .279 | 20.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .214 | .250 | 24.3% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .220 | .373 | 25.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Daylen Lile clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Drew Millas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=24 · -111 dabble_us_dfs
Drew Millas o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=24 · -111 dabble_us_dfs
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=25 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +111 | -147 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +110 | -145 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +128 | -127 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 7 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS