Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Freddie Freeman

Los Angeles Dodgers · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-4.7%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
40%
8/20
Avg0.58
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Gabriel Hughes (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter

No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.

Parlay pairs — when Freddie Freeman clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Teoscar Hernández o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 66% · n=152 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Andy Pages o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 66% · n=162 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Tommy Edman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 63% · n=65 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 72% · base 58% · n=179 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ WSH04/030@ WSH04/041@ WSH04/050@ TOR04/080vs TEX04/120@ SF04/230vs CHC04/260vs MIA04/290@ STL05/031@ HOU05/060vs ATL05/101@ LAA05/171@ MIL05/241vs PHI05/310vs LAA06/070@ CWS06/131@ CWS06/142vs TB06/170vs BAL06/210@ SD06/280.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5-130+130

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs COL Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Tommy Edman LAD07/071
Alex Freeland LAD07/071
Shohei Ohtani LAD07/071
Kyle Tucker LAD07/070
Dalton Rushing LAD07/070
Andy Pages LAD07/070
Miguel Rojas LAD07/070
Max Muncy LAD07/070
Teoscar Hernández LAD07/062
Dalton Rushing LAD07/062
Max Muncy LAD07/061
Andy Pages LAD07/061
Kyle Tucker LAD07/061
Shohei Ohtani LAD07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
97.1690.7280.5593.6496.3386.3789.3496.3996.39
onBasePercentage
.385.417.316.190.447.393.231.340.455
sluggingPercentage
.462.542.278.3411.081.821.346.3831.050
OPS
.846.958.579.5241.5001.214.577.7231.409
AVG
.385.417.278.195.459.393.231.340.400