Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Freddie Freeman

Los Angeles Dodgers · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.23
Edge
-2.4%
All 88 games
22%19/88 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
15%
3/20
Avg0.25
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Gabriel Hughes (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter

No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.

Parlay pairs — when Freddie Freeman clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Teoscar Hernández o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 66% · n=52 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 72% · base 58% · n=60 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Home Runsall 88 games vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs TOR08/101vs SD08/171@ COL08/212@ SD08/240vs AZ08/310@ BAL09/070@ SF09/140vs SF09/212@ AZ09/251@ SEA09/281@ WSH04/030@ WSH04/040@ WSH04/050@ TOR04/080vs TEX04/120@ SF04/230vs CHC04/260vs MIA04/290@ STL05/030@ HOU05/060vs ATL05/100@ LAA05/170@ MIL05/240vs PHI05/310vs LAA06/070@ CWS06/131@ CWS06/141vs TB06/170vs BAL06/210@ SD06/280.5

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+337-333

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs COL Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Shohei Ohtani LAD07/071
Max Muncy LAD07/070
Alex Freeland LAD07/070
Dalton Rushing LAD07/070
Kyle Tucker LAD07/070
Miguel Rojas LAD07/070
Tommy Edman LAD07/070
Andy Pages LAD07/070
Shohei Ohtani LAD07/061
Max Muncy LAD07/060
Kyle Tucker LAD07/060
Dalton Rushing LAD07/060
Mookie Betts LAD07/060
Miguel Rojas LAD07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
97.1690.7280.5593.6496.3386.3789.3496.3996.39
onBasePercentage
.385.417.316.190.447.393.231.340.455
sluggingPercentage
.462.542.278.3411.081.821.346.3831.050
OPS
.846.958.579.5241.5001.214.577.7231.409
AVG
.385.417.278.195.459.393.231.340.400