Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Freddie Freeman

Los Angeles Dodgers · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.23
Edge
-2.4%
All 117 games
15%17/117 over 0.5
Window avg
0.16
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
20%
5/25
Avg0.16
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Gabriel Hughes (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter

No arsenal data for this pitcher yet — syncs daily before first pitch.

Parlay pairs — when Freddie Freeman clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Teoscar Hernández o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 66% · n=52 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 72% · base 58% · n=60 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Home Runsall 117 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ PHI10/060vs PHI10/091@ MIL10/130vs MIL10/160vs MIL10/170vs AZ03/280vs CLE03/300@ WSH04/050vs NYM04/130vs CHC04/260@ STL05/010@ HOU05/041vs ATL05/080vs SF05/130@ MIL05/230vs COL05/260vs PHI05/300@ AZ06/011vs LAA06/050@ CWS06/121@ CWS06/141vs TB06/170vs BAL06/200@ MIN06/230@ SD06/270@ OAK06/290@ OAK06/301vs SD07/040vs SD07/050vs COL07/060.5

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+337-333

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs COL Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Shohei Ohtani LAD07/071
Kyle Tucker LAD07/070
Dalton Rushing LAD07/070
Alex Freeland LAD07/070
Miguel Rojas LAD07/070
Tommy Edman LAD07/070
Andy Pages LAD07/070
Max Muncy LAD07/070
Shohei Ohtani LAD07/061
Kyle Tucker LAD07/060
Miguel Rojas LAD07/060
Mookie Betts LAD07/060
Dalton Rushing LAD07/060
Teoscar Hernández LAD07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
97.1690.7280.5593.6496.3386.3789.3496.3996.39
onBasePercentage
.385.417.316.190.447.393.231.340.455
sluggingPercentage
.462.542.278.3411.081.821.346.3831.050
OPS
.846.958.579.5241.5001.214.577.7231.409
AVG
.385.417.278.195.459.393.231.340.400