Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.64
Edge
-10.5%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
50%
17/34
Avg0.45
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | — | — | — |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | — | — | — |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | — | — | — |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jorbit Vivas clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 69% · n=33 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 71% · base 46% · n=14 · +136 dabble_us_dfs
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 57% · n=30 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 57% · n=30 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -137 | +139 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |