Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.08
Edge
-1.2%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
0%0/20 over 2.5
Window avg
0.10
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/65
Avg0.04
StreakL92
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | — | — | — |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | — | — | — |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | — | — | — |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +992 | -909 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |