Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.64
Edge
-4.4%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 18
39%7/18 over 0.5
Window avg
0.56
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
39%
7/18
2026
43%
6/14
Avg0.56
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .400 | .600 | 21.7% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .182 | .409 | 40.0% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .600 | 1.400 | 8.3% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .200 | .200 | 50.0% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .100 | .400 | 45.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Tyler Callihan clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 85% · base 64% · n=13 · +112 dabble_us_dfs
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 74% · n=12 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 69% · base 48% · n=13 · +135 Bovada
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 69% · base 48% · n=13 · +161 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 18 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -125 | -106 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | — | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -115 | +116 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS