Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nick Kurtz

Oakland Athletics · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.52
Edge
Trending splitsDay 76%(29)
Last 10
90%9/10 over 0.5
Window avg
1.70
Median
2.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
90%
18/20
2026
86%
77/90
Avg1.35
StreakW7

Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
38.4%
96.0.245.58537.1%
Slider
19.1%
86.1.250.62540.8%
Cutter
18.8%
91.6.294.47133.9%
Splitter
8.9%
88.4.227.45554.8%
Sinker
8.4%
95.3.343.41824.4%
Curveball
6.3%
77.8.353.64741.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Nick Kurtz clears 1.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Jacob Wilson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=56 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Jonah Heim o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=19 · -190 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ LAA06/261@ LAA06/270@ LAA06/281vs LAD06/293vs LAD06/301vs LAD07/012vs MIA07/033vs MIA07/042vs MIA07/052@ DET07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks1.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs DET Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Zack Gelof OAK07/074
Colby Thomas OAK07/072
Shea Langeliers OAK07/072
Jacob Wilson OAK07/071
Max Muncy OAK07/071
Henry Bolte OAK07/070
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/051
Evan Carter TEX07/051
Joc Pederson TEX07/051
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/051
Jake Burger TEX07/051
Josh Smith TEX07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.188.143.286.250.422.357.194.449.588
Exit Velo
94.5896.3488.1690.24100.4091.1788.0297.49104.07
AVG
.133.143.286.250.422.357.167.449.588
sluggingPercentage
.133.357.571.528.867.464.267.857.941
OPS
.313.500.857.7781.289.821.4521.3061.529