Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nick Kurtz

Oakland Athletics · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.85
Edge
-9.0%
Trending splitsNight 73%(40)
Last 62
68%42/62 over 0.5
Window avg
1.06
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
62%
18/29
Avg1.06
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Nick Kurtz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Henry Bolte o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=32 · -153 DraftKings
Jonah Heim o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=26 · -190 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 62 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs KC09/281@ TOR03/290@ ATL03/312@ NYY04/091vs TEX04/140vs CWS04/190@ TEX04/250vs KC04/281vs KC04/300vs CLE05/011vs CLE05/031@ PHI05/050@ BAL05/102vs STL05/133@ LAA05/191vs NYY05/293vs NYY05/300@ CHC06/043vs MIL06/081vs MIL06/092vs COL06/121vs COL06/132vs LAA06/210@ SF06/231@ LAA06/270@ LAA06/281vs LAD06/290vs LAD06/302vs LAD07/010@ DET07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-241+178

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs DET Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/073
Jonah Heim OAK07/071
Shea Langeliers OAK07/071
Henry Bolte OAK07/071
Zack Gelof OAK07/071
Colby Thomas OAK07/070
Max Muncy OAK07/070
Jacob Wilson OAK07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/051
Josh Smith TEX07/051
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/051
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/051
Jake Burger TEX07/051
Nicky Lopez TEX07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
94.5896.3488.1690.24102.2191.1787.8497.49104.07
sluggingPercentage
.133.357.600.528.886.464.286.857.941
OPS
.313.500.900.7781.318.821.4831.3061.529
AVG
.133.143.300.250.432.357.179.449.588
onBasePercentage
.188.143.300.250.432.357.207.449.588