Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.14
Edge
-4.9%Trending splitsvs LHP 14%(22)
Last 15
47%7/15 over 1.5
Window avg
1.53
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
36%
29/81
Avg1.30
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .294 | .303 | 5.3% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .259 | .333 | 26.1% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .143 | .179 | 20.8% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .300 | .350 | 4.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Chandler Simpson clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 66% · n=52 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 15 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +150 | -201 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +170 | -169 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +174 | -233 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +150 | -200 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs NYY — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonny DeLuca TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS