Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Chandler Simpson

Tampa Bay Rays · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.35
Edge
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
44%
15/34
Avg0.47
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
44.0%
93.5.294.3035.3%
Slider
18.5%
87.2.259.33326.1%
Changeup
15.5%
83.7.143.17920.8%
Knuckle Curve
14.3%
81.2
Sinker
7.8%
90.6.300.3504.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Chandler Simpson clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Jonny DeLuca o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=21 · -159 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=25 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=25 · -149 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ CLE04/292vs SF05/030vs TOR05/060@ BOS05/100vs MIA05/161vs MIA05/171vs BAL05/201@ NYY05/241@ BAL05/252vs LAA05/300vs LAA05/311vs DET06/030@ MIA06/061@ LAA06/140@ LAD06/170vs WSH06/201vs WSH06/210vs KC06/250vs AZ06/281@ HOU07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6

League vs NYY Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Cedric Mullins TB07/072
Junior Caminero TB07/072
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Richie Palacios TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Yandy Díaz TB07/070
Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/070
Hunter Feduccia TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/063
Cedric Mullins TB07/062
Taylor Walls TB07/062
Yandy Díaz TB07/061
Junior Caminero TB07/061
Jonny DeLuca TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.133.278.308.345.324.280.333.296.200
Exit Velo
80.2086.7183.9184.4686.6686.2070.9983.9982.61
AVG
.133.286.308.345.333.280.353.296.200
sluggingPercentage
.133.314.308.414.394.440.353.370.400
OPS
.267.583.615.759.706.720.667.667.600