Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.96
Edge
-3.6%Last 15
71%5/7 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
1.27
Median
1.0
L5
67%
2/3
L10
67%
2/3
L20
50%
5/10
2026
49%
25/51
Avg1.10
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .294 | .303 | 5.3% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .259 | .333 | 26.1% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .143 | .179 | 20.8% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .300 | .350 | 4.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Chandler Simpson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 50% · n=13 · -114 DraftKings
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 50% · n=13 · -123 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -232 | +172 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -222 | +225 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -213 | +161 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs NYY — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonny DeLuca TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Fortes TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS