Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Chandler Simpson

Tampa Bay Rays · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.96
Edge
-3.6%
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
69%
41/59
Avg1.23
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Chandler Simpson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 50% · n=13 · -114 DraftKings
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 50% · n=13 · -123 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs LAA05/311vs DET06/010vs DET06/020vs DET06/030@ MIA06/050@ MIA06/061@ LAA06/131@ LAA06/140@ LAD06/172vs WSH06/202vs KC06/220vs KC06/231vs KC06/251vs AZ06/271vs AZ06/282@ KC07/013@ KC07/021@ HOU07/051vs NYY07/060vs NYY07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-232+172
BetOnline0.5-213+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs NYY Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/072
Richie Palacios TB07/072
Yandy Díaz TB07/072
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Taylor Walls TB07/060
Nick Fortes TB07/060
Junior Caminero TB07/060
Cedric Mullins TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.133.286.308.357.324.280.333.296.200
Exit Velo
80.2086.5183.9184.6586.6686.2070.9983.9982.61
sluggingPercentage
.133.324.308.429.394.440.353.370.400
AVG
.133.294.308.357.333.280.353.296.200
OPS
.267.600.615.786.706.720.667.667.600