Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.38
Edge
+4.8%
Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.15
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
24%
4/17
Avg1.33
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=24 · -235 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
6vs STL09/140vs CIN09/281vs CHC10/041vs SD04/031vs SD04/040vs SD04/050vs MIL04/080vs DET04/182vs DET04/193vs DET04/200vs HOU05/020vs HOU05/030vs TB05/100vs MIN05/243vs ATL05/281vs BAL06/040vs TEX06/134vs TOR06/181vs NYY06/270vs WSH07/011.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+178-238

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.667.486.600.208.429.2311.000.333.182
Exit Velo
79.9388.6583.8382.9789.7185.9591.7782.0284.46
AVG
.278.286.400.167.257.192.375.125.136
onBasePercentage
.278.286.400.167.243.192.375.120.130
OPS
.944.7711.000.375.649.4231.375.440.304