Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.15
Edge
+6.3%Last 223
8%18/223 over 0.5
Window avg
0.09
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
9%
7/80
Avg0.09
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .233 | .493 | 8.5% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .247 | .309 | 6.5% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .120 | .240 | 40.4% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .216 | .324 | 25.3% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .278 | .556 | 19.6% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .200 | .200 | 10.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 223 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1248 | -1111 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CWS — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cooper Ingle CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Steven Kwan CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kahlil Watson CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS