Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-9.6%
Trending splitsvs LHP 59%(22)
Last 30
47%14/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
50%
20/40
Avg0.79
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 68% · n=49 · -194 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs NYY04/210vs NYY04/220vs NYY04/231vs HOU05/010vs HOU05/020vs HOU05/031vs TB05/070vs TB05/080vs TB05/100vs PHI05/120vs PHI05/131vs PHI05/140vs MIN05/220vs MIN05/242vs ATL05/281vs BAL06/022vs BAL06/031vs BAL06/040vs TEX06/120vs TEX06/130vs TEX06/140vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/182vs NYY06/252vs NYY06/261vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/281vs WSH06/291vs WSH06/300vs WSH07/010.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
BetOnline0.5-192+147

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.667.486.600.208.429.2311.000.333.182
Exit Velo
79.9388.6583.8382.9789.7185.9591.7782.0284.46
AVG
.278.286.400.167.257.192.375.125.136
onBasePercentage
.278.286.400.167.243.192.375.120.130
OPS
.944.7711.000.375.649.4231.375.440.304