Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-9.6%
Trending splitsDay 48%(31)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
58%
15/26
Avg0.86
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 68% · n=49 · -194 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
1@ TOR04/270@ TOR04/282@ DET05/051@ DET05/060@ ATL05/150@ ATL05/161@ KC05/190@ KC05/201@ CLE05/291@ NYY06/050@ TB06/081@ TB06/093@ SEA06/192@ SEA06/202@ COL06/221@ COL06/231@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/040@ LAA07/050@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
BetOnline0.5-192+147

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.667.486.600.208.429.2311.000.333.182
Exit Velo
79.9388.6583.8382.9789.7185.9591.7782.0284.46
AVG
.278.286.400.167.257.192.375.125.136
onBasePercentage
.278.286.400.167.243.192.375.120.130
OPS
.944.7711.000.375.649.4231.375.440.304