Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-9.6%
Last 30
50%15/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.73
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
48%
15/31
Avg0.81
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 68% · n=49 · -194 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ CIN03/280@ CIN03/290@ HOU04/011vs SD04/031vs SD04/040vs SD04/050vs MIL04/080@ STL04/120vs DET04/181vs DET04/192vs DET04/202@ BAL04/251@ BAL04/261@ TOR04/290vs HOU05/020vs HOU05/030vs TB05/100vs MIN05/242vs ATL05/282@ CLE05/301@ CLE05/311vs BAL06/040@ NYY06/073@ TB06/100vs TEX06/131vs TOR06/182@ SEA06/210@ COL06/241vs NYY06/270vs WSH07/010.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
BetOnline0.5-192+147

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Steven Kwan CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.667.486.600.208.429.2311.000.333.182
Exit Velo
79.9388.6583.8382.9789.7185.9591.7782.0284.46
AVG
.278.286.400.167.257.192.375.125.136
onBasePercentage
.278.286.400.167.243.192.375.120.130
OPS
.944.7711.000.375.649.4231.375.440.304