Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
-9.6%
Last 5
0%0/5 over 4
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/80
Avg0.81
StreakL223

Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
26.0%
92.7.233.4938.5%
Sinker
17.9%
90.8.247.3096.5%
Changeup
14.8%
88.7.120.24040.4%
Slider
14.5%
85.3.216.32425.3%
Cutter
13.5%
87.0.278.55619.6%
Curveball
13.3%
80.7.200.20010.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 68% · n=49 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 4

official box scores
0vs WSH07/011@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/040@ LAA07/050@ CWS07/074

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
BetOnline0.5-192+147
dabble_us_dfs0.5-164+165

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.278.286.364.167.250.185.375.125.136
Exit Velo
79.9388.6585.4882.9789.5785.9291.7782.0284.46
onBasePercentage
.278.286.364.167.237.185.375.120.130
sluggingPercentage
.667.486.545.208.417.2221.000.333.182
OPS
.944.771.909.375.632.4071.375.440.304