Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.38
Edge
+4.8%All 223 games
10%23/223 over 3.5
Window avg
1.28
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
9%
7/80
Avg1.28
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .233 | .493 | 8.5% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .247 | .309 | 6.5% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .120 | .240 | 40.4% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .216 | .324 | 25.3% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .278 | .556 | 19.6% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .200 | .200 | 10.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=24 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 223 games vs 3.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +178 | -238 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CWS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Steven Kwan CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Patrick Bailey CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS