Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.38
Edge
+4.8%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.90
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
33%
9/27
Avg1.30
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=24 · -235 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

away only · official box scores
3@ MIN04/130@ MIN04/141@ BAL04/241@ BAL04/261@ TOR04/270@ TOR04/282@ DET05/060@ ATL05/150@ ATL05/160@ KC05/202@ CLE05/293@ CLE05/310@ NYY06/071@ TB06/099@ TB06/107@ SEA06/192@ SEA06/203@ SEA06/213@ COL06/220@ LAA07/051.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+178-238

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.667.486.600.208.429.2311.000.333.182
Exit Velo
79.9388.6583.8382.9789.7185.9591.7782.0284.46
AVG
.278.286.400.167.257.192.375.125.136
onBasePercentage
.278.286.400.167.243.192.375.120.130
OPS
.944.7711.000.375.649.4231.375.440.304