Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.53
Edge
Trending splitsAway 50%(40)
Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
41%
9/22
Avg0.37
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
26.0%
92.7.233.4938.5%
Sinker
17.9%
90.8.247.3096.5%
Changeup
14.8%
88.7.120.24040.4%
Slider
14.5%
85.3.216.32425.3%
Cutter
13.5%
87.0.278.55619.6%
Curveball
13.3%
80.7.200.20010.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Caleb Durbin clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=34 · -200 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs DET04/180vs DET04/191vs NYY04/221@ BAL04/251@ TOR04/291@ DET05/050vs PHI05/141@ KC05/190vs MIN05/220vs ATL05/280@ CLE05/300vs BAL06/040@ NYY06/051@ TB06/080@ COL06/230@ COL06/241vs NYY06/280@ LAA07/030@ LAA07/040@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/071
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/071
Willson Contreras BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/053
Cooper Ingle CLE07/053
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Steven Kwan CLE07/050
Patrick Bailey CLE07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.278.286.364.167.250.185.375.125.136
Exit Velo
79.9388.6585.4882.9789.5785.9291.7782.0284.46
onBasePercentage
.278.286.364.167.237.185.375.120.130
sluggingPercentage
.667.486.545.208.417.2221.000.333.182
OPS
.944.771.909.375.632.4071.375.440.304