Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.06
Edge
-5.3%All 181 games
27%48/181 over 1.5
Window avg
1.02
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
28%
18/65
Avg1.02
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .207 | .207 | 20.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .354 | .458 | 21.6% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .222 | .296 | 17.9% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .409 | .500 | 12.2% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | .250 | .250 | 8.3% |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .324 | .324 | 28.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jake Mangum clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 68% · n=17 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 72% · n=40 · -204 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Gonzales o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 76% · base 49% · n=17 · +162 dabble_us_dfs
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=13 · -119 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 181 games vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs ATL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS