Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.23
Edge
-3.9%Last 20
75%9/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
1.55
Median
1.0
L5
75%
3/4
L10
86%
6/7
L20
75%
9/12
2026
52%
11/21
Avg1.21
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Jake Mangum clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 72% · n=51 · -224 DraftKings
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 68% · n=21 · -232 DraftKings
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=24 · -214 DraftKings
Nick Gonzales o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 67% · base 49% · n=21 · +152 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs ATL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 13 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS