Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.06
Edge
-5.4%Last 20
30%6/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
27%
6/22
Avg1.10
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Jake Mangum clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 68% · n=17 · -232 DraftKings
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 72% · n=40 · -224 DraftKings
Nick Gonzales o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 76% · base 49% · n=17 · +152 DraftKings
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=13 · -130 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs ATL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS