Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.31
Edge
-7.0%Last 3
33%1/3 over 1.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
0.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
1/3
L20
33%
1/3
2026
—
Avg1.00
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Drake Baldwin clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=75 · -214 DraftKings
Dominic Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 57% · n=21 · -193 DraftKings
Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=51 · -159 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 3 vs 1.5
vs PIT only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs PIT — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS