Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.34
Edge
-11.3%Last 20
35%7/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
37%
13/35
Avg0.39
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .167 | .250 | 25.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .344 | .719 | 20.3% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .167 | .167 | 21.4% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .111 | .111 | 26.7% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | .333 | .833 | 26.7% |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .154 | .154 | 44.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Endy Rodríguez clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 80% · n=17 · -214 DraftKings
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 64% · n=14 · -204 dabble_us_dfs
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 56% · n=9 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Jake Mangum o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 38% · n=12 · +123 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +149 | -147 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs ATL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS