Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Endy Rodríguez

Pittsburgh Pirates · 1B · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.72
Edge
-7.3%
Last 51
49%25/51 over 0.5
Window avg
0.69
Median
0.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
49%
17/35
Avg0.69
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Slider
38.0%
85.3.167.25025.0%
Four-seam FB
31.7%
94.2.344.71920.3%
Sinker
10.3%
93.1.167.16721.4%
Curveball
8.1%
82.9.111.11126.7%
Cutter
6.5%
92.2.333.83326.7%
Changeup
5.5%
89.6.154.15444.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Endy Rodríguez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 63% · n=16 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 64% · n=18 · -204 dabble_us_dfs
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 56% · n=14 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=18 · -102 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 51 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ TOR05/230@ TOR05/240vs CHC05/271vs MIN05/290vs MIN05/302@ HOU06/020@ HOU06/030@ HOU06/040@ ATL06/050@ ATL06/061@ ATL06/070vs LAD06/090vs LAD06/102vs MIA06/120vs MIA06/130vs MIA06/143@ OAK06/151@ OAK06/160@ COL06/190@ COL06/201@ COL06/211vs SEA06/232vs SEA06/240vs CIN06/261vs CIN06/272@ PHI06/291@ PHI06/301@ PHI07/020@ WSH07/031@ WSH07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-170+127
dabble_us_dfs0.5-161+163

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs ATL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ryan O'Hearn PIT07/074
Brandon Lowe PIT07/073
Tyler Callihan PIT07/072
Nick Gonzales PIT07/072
Jake Mangum PIT07/071
Jared Triolo PIT07/071
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT07/071
Henry Davis PIT07/070
Bryan Reynolds PIT07/070
Carson Benge NYM07/062
Bo Bichette NYM07/062
Francisco Alvarez NYM07/062
Ronny Mauricio NYM07/061
Juan Soto NYM07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.3331.333.333.125.722.444.400.857.111
Exit Velo
99.6896.2182.0988.1693.6592.6584.9898.9788.01
AVG
.167.333.333.125.278.333.400.357.111
onBasePercentage
.286.333.333.125.278.333.400.357.111
OPS
.5711.667.667.2501.000.778.8001.214.222