Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Endy Rodríguez

Pittsburgh Pirates · 1B · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.72
Edge
-7.3%
Last 5
50%1/2 over 1 · 3 push
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
50%
1/2
L10
50%
2/4
L20
33%
4/12
2026
31%
8/26
Avg0.69
Streak

Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Slider
38.0%
85.3.167.25025.0%
Four-seam FB
31.7%
94.2.344.71920.3%
Sinker
10.3%
93.1.167.16721.4%
Curveball
8.1%
82.9.111.11126.7%
Cutter
6.5%
92.2.333.83326.7%
Changeup
5.5%
89.6.154.15444.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Endy Rodríguez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Nick Gonzales o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 63% · n=16 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 64% · n=18 · -204 dabble_us_dfs
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 56% · n=14 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=18 · -102 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 1

official box scores
2@ PHI06/291@ PHI06/301@ PHI07/020@ WSH07/031@ WSH07/051

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-170+127
dabble_us_dfs0.5-161+163

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs ATL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ryan O'Hearn PIT07/074
Brandon Lowe PIT07/073
Nick Gonzales PIT07/072
Tyler Callihan PIT07/072
Jared Triolo PIT07/071
Jake Mangum PIT07/071
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT07/071
Bryan Reynolds PIT07/070
Henry Davis PIT07/070
Carson Benge NYM07/062
Bo Bichette NYM07/062
Francisco Alvarez NYM07/062
Brett Baty NYM07/061
Ronny Mauricio NYM07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.3331.333.333.125.722.444.400.857.111
Exit Velo
99.6896.2182.0988.1693.6592.6584.9898.9788.01
AVG
.167.333.333.125.278.333.400.357.111
onBasePercentage
.286.333.333.125.278.333.400.357.111
OPS
.5711.667.667.2501.000.778.8001.214.222