Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Cam Smith

Houston Astros · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.53
Edge
Last 10
50%5/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
36%
32/90
Avg0.42
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.192.30824.6%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.269.47422.7%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.118.20652.4%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.250.33331.0%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.125.31355.0%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.266.29110.8%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.308.69231.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Cam Smith clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 66% · n=57 · -230 DraftKings
Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=70 · -206 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ DET06/270@ DET06/282vs MIN06/291vs MIN06/301vs MIN07/010vs TB07/030vs TB07/040vs TB07/052@ WSH07/060@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Walker HOU07/072
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/072
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061
Isaac Paredes HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.000.320.143.320.239.212.308.361.240
sluggingPercentage
.000.680.357.400.500.313.615.583.542
AVG
.000.320.143.320.239.219.308.361.250
OPS
.0001.000.500.720.739.515.923.944.760
Exit Velo
77.6591.3996.7488.3996.4291.4888.6192.8291.82