Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Cam Smith

Houston Astros · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.53
Edge
-0.7%
Last 20
20%4/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
25%
8/32
Avg0.30
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.192.30824.6%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.269.47422.7%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.118.20652.4%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.250.33331.0%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.125.31355.0%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.266.29110.8%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.308.69231.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Cam Smith clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 66% · n=57 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=70 · -182 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ BOS05/030vs LAD05/060@ CIN05/090@ CIN05/100vs SEA05/140vs TEX05/170@ MIN05/200@ CHC05/220@ CHC05/232@ CHC05/241vs MIL05/300vs MIL05/310vs OAK06/070@ KC06/140vs DET06/170vs CLE06/211@ TOR06/231@ DET06/270@ DET06/280vs TB07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+141-139

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr Picksdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach Dezenzo HOU07/072
Christian Walker HOU07/072
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Isaac Paredes HOU07/061
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.000.320.143.320.239.212.308.361.240
sluggingPercentage
.000.680.357.400.500.313.615.583.542
AVG
.000.320.143.320.239.219.308.361.250
OPS
.0001.000.500.720.739.515.923.944.760
Exit Velo
77.6591.3996.7488.3996.4291.4888.6192.8291.82