Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.87
Edge
-2.0%Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
64%
29/45
Avg0.80
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Cam Smith clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Spencer Arrighetti o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=9 · -111 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs WSH — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS
AVG