Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Cam Smith

Houston Astros · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.87
Edge
-2.0%
Last 15
60%9/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
68%
17/25
Avg0.91
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Cam Smith clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Spencer Arrighetti o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=9 · -111 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs NYY04/250@ BOS05/011@ BOS05/023@ BOS05/031@ CIN05/080@ CIN05/101@ MIN05/181@ CHC05/242vs OAK06/071@ LAA06/100@ KC06/131vs DET06/160vs CLE06/201@ DET06/270@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-179+134

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nick Allen HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
77.6591.3996.7488.3996.5391.4888.6192.5891.82
onBasePercentage
.000.320.143.320.244.212.308.371.240
sluggingPercentage
.000.680.357.400.511.313.615.600.542
OPS
.0001.000.500.720.756.515.923.971.760
AVG
.000.320.143.320.244.219.308.371.250