Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.87
Edge
-2.0%Last 10
60%6/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
68%
17/25
Avg0.91
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 32.1% | 88.1 | .192 | .308 | 24.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 17.1% | 91.5 | .269 | .474 | 22.7% |
| Sweeper | 14.5% | 79.8 | .118 | .206 | 52.4% |
| Curveball | 10.5% | 77.8 | .250 | .333 | 31.0% |
| Changeup | 10.4% | 82.4 | .125 | .313 | 55.0% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 91.2 | .266 | .291 | 10.8% |
| Splitter | 5.1% | 81.2 | .308 | .692 | 31.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Cam Smith clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Spencer Arrighetti o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=9 · -111 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 10 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs WSH — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
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