Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Roki Sasaki

Los Angeles Dodgers · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.75
Edge
-8.5%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 4.5
Window avg
3.80
Median
4.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
53%
8/15
Avg3.21
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Roki Sasaki clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 88% · base 77% · n=8 · -137 Betr Picks
Andy Pages o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 61% · n=8 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=8 · -130 dabble_us_dfs
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 63% · base 53% · n=8 · -137 DK Pick6

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 20 vs 4.5

official box scores
0@ MIL10/131vs MIL10/160vs MIL10/170vs TOR10/270@ TOR10/314vs CLE03/305@ WSH04/056vs TEX04/122@ COL04/195vs CHC04/254@ STL05/025vs SF05/118@ LAA05/174@ MIL05/237vs PHI05/3010vs LAA06/054@ CWS06/126vs BAL06/192@ SD06/263vs SD07/024.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
FanDuel4.5-174+136
PrizePicks5.5-137-137
Betr Picks5.5-137-137
Bovada4.5-180+135
dabble_us_dfs5.5-116+118

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.55.512:12 AM ET11:15 AM ET
FanDuelBovadaPrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr Picks

League vs COL Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Justin Wrobleski LAD07/079
Eric Lauer LAD07/063
Tyler Mahle SF07/055
Robbie Ray SF07/044
Logan Webb SF07/032
Ryan Gusto MIA07/022
Max Meyer MIA07/015
Eury Pérez MIA06/308
Sandy Alcantara MIA06/293
Connor Prielipp MIN06/2810
Mike Paredes MIN06/272
Taj Bradley MIN06/267
Ranger Suarez BOS06/249
Sonny Gray BOS06/2311

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Four-seam FB43.2% · 97.5 mph
Splitter24.3% · 90.2 mph
Slider21.9% · 86.6 mph
Forkball10.6% · 85.2 mph