Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.34
Edge
+2.0%Trending splitsDay 29%(21)
Last 5
40%2/5 over 1.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
40%
6/15
Avg1.21
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .286 | .440 | 13.2% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .263 | .316 | 26.3% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .206 | .294 | 21.7% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .292 | .458 | 31.0% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .231 | .346 | 5.6% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .261 | .304 | 6.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nolan Schanuel clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Denzer Guzman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 72% · n=10 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
Jorge Soler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 64% · n=54 · -130 DraftKings
Zach Neto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 65% · n=117 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 5 vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs TEX — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 8 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| James Outman DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS