Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.92
Edge
+4.6%Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
62%
56/91
Avg0.81
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .290 | .548 | 22.4% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .320 | .560 | 28.0% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .105 | .105 | 43.5% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .246 | .368 | 33.1% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .320 | .320 | 16.1% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .225 | .324 | 19.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jo Adell clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Denzer Guzman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=20 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 54% · n=29 · -178 DraftKings
Walbert Ureña o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs TEX — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Outman DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS