Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.44
Edge
+1.2%All 367 games
26%85/325 over 2 · 42 push
Window avg
1.51
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
33%
3/9
L20
29%
5/17
2026
26%
21/81
Avg1.51
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .290 | .548 | 22.4% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .320 | .560 | 28.0% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .105 | .105 | 43.5% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .246 | .368 | 33.1% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .320 | .320 | 16.1% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .225 | .324 | 19.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jo Adell clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Denzer Guzman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 66% · n=14 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 54% · n=16 · -178 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 367 games vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +158 | -156 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TEX — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 8 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| James Outman DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS