Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jo Adell

Los Angeles Angels · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.92
Edge
+4.6%
Trending splitsDay 69%(26)
Last 30
63%19/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.07
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
61%
40/66
Avg0.77
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
45.0%
95.4.290.54822.4%
Curveball
21.3%
81.7.320.56028.0%
Changeup
10.2%
86.7.105.10543.5%
Slider
9.5%
85.8.246.36833.1%
Cutter
8.9%
89.9.320.32016.1%
Sinker
5.1%
95.2.225.32419.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jo Adell clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Denzer Guzman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=20 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 54% · n=29 · -178 DraftKings
Walbert Ureña o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=8 · -120 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs TEX05/231@ DET05/260@ DET05/271@ DET05/280@ TB05/291@ TB05/300vs COL06/021vs COL06/031@ LAD06/050@ LAD06/064@ LAD06/070vs HOU06/082vs HOU06/090vs HOU06/104vs TB06/132vs TB06/142@ AZ06/151@ AZ06/163@ OAK06/200@ OAK06/211vs BAL06/221vs BAL06/231vs OAK06/262vs OAK06/270vs OAK06/281@ SEA06/290@ SEA06/300@ SEA07/020vs BOS07/042@ TEX07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-147+111
dabble_us_dfs0.5-159+160

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TEX Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Josh Lowe LAA07/071
Wade Meckler LAA07/071
Jorge Soler LAA07/071
Logan O'Hoppe LAA07/071
Denzer Guzman LAA07/071
Nolan Schanuel LAA07/071
Oswald Peraza LAA07/071
Zach Neto LAA07/070
Riley Greene DET07/053
Kevin McGonigle DET07/052
James Outman DET07/051
Dillon Dingler DET07/051
Spencer Torkelson DET07/051
Kerry Carpenter DET07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.200.333.292.292.273.361.125.419.119
Exit Velo
80.8791.6598.8380.2991.6597.5189.2694.6591.77
onBasePercentage
.200.333.292.292.261.361.125.419.119
sluggingPercentage
.400.500.500.292.295.667.125.774.262
OPS
.600.833.792.583.5431.028.2501.194.381