Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Javier Sanoja

Miami Marlins · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.39
Edge
-1.1%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
31%
12/39
Avg0.34
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sweeper
29.9%
87.1.091.13620.9%
Four-seam FB
29.4%
96.7.288.44210.4%
Sinker
21.0%
96.9.255.3195.3%
Knuckle Curve
9.9%
83.8
Changeup
6.7%
88.7.429.52413.0%
Cutter
3.0%
93.2.200.3333.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Javier Sanoja clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Griffin Conine o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 49% · n=10 · -145 dabble_us_dfs
Joe Mack o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 58% · n=12 · -130 DraftKings
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 71% · n=42 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Owen Caissie o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 55% · n=14 · -119 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs NYM05/222@ TOR05/250@ TOR05/260@ NYM05/290vs TB06/050vs AZ06/091vs AZ06/102@ PIT06/120@ PHI06/150@ PHI06/162vs SF06/190vs TEX06/220vs TEX06/231@ STL06/271@ COL06/293@ COL06/300@ COL07/010@ OAK07/031@ OAK07/041vs SEA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+203-200

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SEA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Owen Caissie MIA07/071
Griffin Conine MIA07/071
Liam Hicks MIA07/071
Xavier Edwards MIA07/071
Kyle Stowers MIA07/070
Jakob Marsee MIA07/070
Joe Mack MIA07/070
Otto Lopez MIA07/070
Yohendrick Piñango TOR07/050
Ernie Clement TOR07/050
Sean Keys TOR07/050
Nathan Lukes TOR07/050
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/050
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.286.231.067.357.417.259.167.118.231
Exit Velo
85.8392.9093.4987.1585.3891.3391.3980.9686.82
onBasePercentage
.286.231.067.357.417.259.167.111.214
sluggingPercentage
.286.308.200.643.583.333.333.118.462
OPS
.571.538.2671.0001.000.593.500.222.643