Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Javier Sanoja

Miami Marlins · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.01
Edge
+2.9%
Last 192
7%11/167 over 2 · 25 push
Window avg
0.74
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/4
L10
33%
3/9
L20
18%
3/17
2026
13%
7/56
Avg0.74
StreakL4

Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sweeper
29.9%
87.1.091.13620.9%
Four-seam FB
29.4%
96.7.288.44210.4%
Sinker
21.0%
96.9.255.3195.3%
Knuckle Curve
9.9%
83.8
Changeup
6.7%
88.7.429.52413.0%
Cutter
3.0%
93.2.200.3333.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Javier Sanoja clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 59% · n=67 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Owen Caissie o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 55% · n=29 · -119 dabble_us_dfs
Liam Hicks o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=63 · -222 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 192 vs 2

official box scores
2@ TOR05/260@ TOR05/270@ NYM05/290@ NYM05/310@ WSH06/031vs TB06/053vs TB06/060vs TB06/071vs AZ06/091vs AZ06/100vs AZ06/111@ PIT06/120@ PIT06/130@ PIT06/140@ PHI06/151@ PHI06/160@ PHI06/172vs SF06/190vs TEX06/222vs TEX06/233@ STL06/270@ STL06/283@ COL06/293@ COL06/301@ COL07/012@ COL07/020@ OAK07/031@ OAK07/041@ OAK07/051vs SEA07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-186+139
dabble_us_dfs0.5-169+171

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SEA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Liam Hicks MIA07/073
Jakob Marsee MIA07/072
Otto Lopez MIA07/071
Griffin Conine MIA07/071
Xavier Edwards MIA07/071
Owen Caissie MIA07/071
Joe Mack MIA07/070
Kyle Stowers MIA07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/051
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/051
Nathan Lukes TOR07/051
Daulton Varsho TOR07/050
Luis Urías TOR07/050
Sean Keys TOR07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.286.231.067.357.417.259.167.118.231
Exit Velo
85.8392.9093.4987.1585.3891.3391.3980.9686.82
onBasePercentage
.286.231.067.357.417.259.167.111.214
sluggingPercentage
.286.308.200.643.583.333.333.118.462
OPS
.571.538.2671.0001.000.593.500.222.643