Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.11
Edge
-8.3%Last 20
50%10/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.80
Median
1.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
40%
10/25
Avg1.18
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 31.6% | 92.2 | .205 | .205 | 12.7% |
| Changeup | 24.0% | 86.1 | .368 | .474 | 15.8% |
| Sweeper | 19.2% | 84.2 | .167 | .333 | 18.8% |
| Four-seam FB | 13.2% | 92.4 | .328 | .397 | 20.5% |
| Cutter | 12.0% | 89.9 | .214 | .214 | 25.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 69% · n=71 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 64% · n=19 · -140 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 62% · n=51 · -172 DraftKings
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=40 · -147 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +170 | -169 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS