Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-5.7%Trending splitsvs LHP 73%(11)
Last 15
53%8/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.73
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
61%
35/57
Avg0.85
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=123 · -240 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=16 · -111 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |