Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nathan Lukes

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-5.7%
Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
67%
18/27
Avg0.91
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=123 · -240 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=16 · -111 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
1@ LAA04/200@ LAA04/212@ LAA04/221@ BAL05/281@ BAL05/291@ BAL05/302@ BAL05/312@ ATL06/022@ ATL06/032@ ATL06/041@ BOS06/161@ BOS06/171@ BOS06/181@ CHC06/190@ CHC06/200@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/051@ SF07/060@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060