Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nathan Lukes

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-5.7%
Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
2.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
58%
14/24
Avg0.81
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=123 · -240 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=16 · -111 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
2vs TEX06/272vs TEX06/282vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060