Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-5.7%Last 224
5%12/224 over 2.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
7%
4/57
Avg0.85
StreakL20
Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 31.6% | 92.2 | .205 | .205 | 12.7% |
| Changeup | 24.0% | 86.1 | .368 | .474 | 15.8% |
| Sweeper | 19.2% | 84.2 | .167 | .333 | 18.8% |
| Four-seam FB | 13.2% | 92.4 | .328 | .397 | 20.5% |
| Cutter | 12.0% | 89.9 | .214 | .214 | 25.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=123 · -240 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=16 · -111 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 224 vs 2.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS