Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nathan Lukes

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-5.7%
Trending splitsvs LHP 73%(11)
Last 30
73%22/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.07
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
59%
27/46
Avg0.93
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=123 · -240 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=16 · -111 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs CLE04/243vs MIA05/251vs MIA05/271@ BAL05/281@ BAL05/302@ BAL05/312@ ATL06/022@ ATL06/030vs BAL06/051vs BAL06/061vs BAL06/071vs PHI06/090vs NYY06/133vs NYY06/141@ BOS06/181@ CHC06/190@ CHC06/201vs HOU06/220vs HOU06/231vs HOU06/241vs TEX06/262vs TEX06/272vs TEX06/280vs NYM06/302vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/051@ SF07/060@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060