Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nathan Lukes

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-5.7%
Last 30
47%14/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.53
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
73%
8/11
Avg0.55
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=123 · -240 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=16 · -111 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs NYY07/010@ OAK07/120@ OAK07/130vs SF07/200vs NYY07/210vs NYY07/231@ DET07/260vs KC08/021@ COL08/060@ LAD08/081@ LAD08/091vs TEX08/162@ NYY09/070@ TB09/170@ KC09/201vs TB09/280vs NYY10/050@ NYY10/070vs LAD10/240vs COL04/011@ LAA04/201@ BAL05/292@ ATL06/041vs PHI06/081vs PHI06/101vs NYY06/121@ BOS06/161@ BOS06/170vs TEX06/250vs NYM06/290.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060