Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nathan Lukes

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-5.7%
Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
3/5
L20
60%
3/5
2026
50%
1/2
Avg0.60
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Nathan Lukes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=123 · -240 DraftKings
Jonatan Clase o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=16 · -111 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

vs SF only · official box scores
1vs SF07/181vs SF07/190vs SF07/201@ SF07/060@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sean Keys TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060