Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.05
Edge
-5.4%All 51 games
2%1/48 over 1 · 3 push
Window avg
0.10
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/19
2026
3%
1/29
Avg0.10
StreakL15
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats SwitchThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .136 | .545 | 18.0% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .267 | .533 | 13.0% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .091 | .136 | 38.1% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | — | — | — |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .000 | .000 | 39.1% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .200 | .500 | 11.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — all 51 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +849 | -833 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Vargas CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vaughn Grissom LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS